The Hallway Poll
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Voting Statistics
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  • HQ + RTP

86 polls conducted & 4768 votes counted

Highest vote count: 75 for No (Poll: Polarizing Provisions, Question: Is cereal a soup?)

Most decisive vote ever: Ice Cream over Frozen Yogurt, 65–11 (Poll: Dessert Match-Ups Part I, Question: Frozen; p = 1.8^{-10})

Most unanimous vote: Curve with a resounding 87.1 % of the votes (Poll: Opposites, Question: What’s the opposite of a straight line?)

Least unanimous (non-zero) vote: Wednesday with 1.09% of the votes (Poll: Week Daze, Question: Favorite)

Most-spurned option ever: Wednesday got just 0.08x its fair share (1 of 92 votes across 7 options; Week Daze - Favorite)
This compares each option’s share of votes to the chance level for its own question (1/k, where k is however many options that question had) — the lowest such ratio, among options that got at least one vote, is comparable no matter how many-way the poll was.

Closest vote(s) ever: a 3-way tie for closest (closest possible result in a 2-way poll — a dead-even 50/50 split) — see the tie tracker tab.
This is scoped to two-option questions only, since a dead-even split is the closest a vote can possibly land. Multi-option ties for the lead are a different kind of tie — tracked separately in the tie tracker — and don’t necessarily mean the overall result was close.

Tie tracker

4 questions have ended in a tie for the lead so far — 3 as a dead-even two-option split, and 1 as a shared top spot among more than two options:

Poll Question Split
Cheese Snacks cheese snacks 21-21 (Goldfish vs Cheez-It)
Eggs In a pot 13-13 (Poached vs Hard/Soft Boiled)
Dessert Match-Ups Part II Cinnamon 23-23 (Churro vs Cinnamon Bun)
Week Daze Longest-Feeling 23 votes each, tied for 1st of 7 options (Tuesday vs Wednesday)

Cumulative Alignment Index between HQ’s and RTP’s vote shares, across every option RTP has voted on (Earth Day → Week Daze): 0.89

This is a different calculation from the per-poll index (see Alignment by poll tab to the right), not their average. It’s asking a stricter question than “did the two offices pick the same winner” – it’s asking whether they were equally enthusiastic about every option. Each per-poll index answers that on so few votes that it can swing wildly: Fair Fare reads as negative even though HQ and RTP agreed on every winner, just with slightly different enthusiasm. This number pools every vote from every poll, so it’s a far more reliable read on how closely the two offices actually vote alike.

Most aligned poll: Earth Day (0.9)

Least aligned poll: Fair Fare (-0.02)

11 questions where HQ and RTP would have crowned different winners on their own, since RTP joined the poll (see Different crowns tabs for the winners).

Biggest HQ/RTP gap on record: Sunscreen (Sun Protection) — HQ 86% vs RTP 63.3% for Lotion (p = 0.038). It’s also the only office gap that’s cleared statistical significance so far.
This stat requires a shared winner and asks “how differently did the two offices feel about this one thing?”.

  • Alignment by poll
  • Participation share
  • Different crowns

The cumulative Alignment Index (see the Alignment section left) pools every option from every poll into one correlation; this instead shows each poll’s own alignment on its own, so you can see how much any single poll’s read can wander from that cumulative figure (dashed line) – see the Alignment section above for why that’s expected rather than a discrepancy.

Figure 1: HQ/RTP correlation, one poll at a time. Two-option polls use the leader-only method; polls where every question has more than two options (no single leader pair to compare) use the all-shares method instead – the same distinction each poll’s own post draws.

RTP has cast 1384 of the 3521 votes counted since it joined — 39.3% of the total. That share hasn’t trended up or down so much as bounced around a fairly consistent range, poll to poll:

Figure 2: RTP’s share of the vote, one poll at a time.

Every question where HQ and RTP would have crowned different winners on their own, since RTP joined the poll – each office’s pick and how far ahead of their own runner-up it was, sorted by the two margins combined, the “Standoff score” (a rough read on how emphatic the standoff was, not on how far apart the offices’ support for the same option was – they didn’t pick the same option here).

Table 1
Poll Question HQ pick RTP pick Standoff score
Dessert Match-Ups Part I Fruity Pie (+25.5 pts) Cobbler (+13.0 pts) 38.5 pts
Dessert Match-Ups Part II Cookie Macaroon (+21.4 pts) Macaron (+14.3 pts) 35.7 pts
NBA Finals Breakfast Breakfast Taco (+12.5 pts) Bagel Sandwich (+21.7 pts) 34.2 pts
Earth Day Volunteering Invasive Species Removal (+10.5 pts) Trash Pickup (+17.6 pts) 28.2 pts
Sun Protection Shades Wayfarer (+4.5 pts) Aviator (+21.4 pts) 26.0 pts
Dessert Match-Ups Part II Tart/Torte Fruit Tart (+18.8 pts) Chocolate Torte (+6.7 pts) 25.4 pts
NBA Finals Catchphrase “Bless your heart” (+3.2 pts) “I’m walkin’ here” (+11.1 pts) 14.3 pts
Polarizing Provisions Is potato salad a salad? No (+1.8 pts) Yes (+11.1 pts) 12.9 pts
Week Daze Most Productive Wednesday (+3.3 pts) Tuesday (+9.1 pts) 12.4 pts
Dessert Match-Ups Part II Cinnamon Churro (+3.2 pts) Cinnamon Bun (+6.7 pts) 9.9 pts
Week Daze Longest-Feeling Thursday (+3.6 pts) Tuesday (+6.2 pts) 9.8 pts

2025–2026 Morgan Browning All content licensed under Creative Commons CC BY 4.0

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